The decision to purchase real estate or to place your home for sale in the Santa Barbara real estate market can be one of the 
biggest you and your family will make at any given time. This decision can be made easier if you are adequately informed about the buying and selling process, the local real estate market and the neighborhoods and communities in which you are interested. As a local real estate professional with more than thirty years of experience helping buyers and sellers just like you, it would be my great pleasure to introduce you to the Santa Barbara Real Estate Services I offer to both buyers and sellers.
For sake of simplicity, buying a home is a three-step process: finding the right community, finding the right home and negotiating the best contract terms. For your convenience, I have compiled a wealth of information on local communities and their real estate trends as well as provided you access to the search the entire Santa Barbara MLS to view available properties. Once we have narrowed down the ideal community and the right home, I will use my many years of experience and expertise and my Santa Barbara Real Estate Services to negotiate the contract terms to suit your needs and to exceed your expectations.
For sellers, I believe you will find my commitment to untiring communication and service, masterful marketing and negotiation skills to be most refreshing. Resulting from years of extensive experience and research, a superior ability to anticipate problems and solve them and unsurpassed ethics and professionalism, you will find these qualities will help your home sell quickly and for its highest dollar.
Whether you are moving across town or across the country, it would be my great pleasure to assist you with all your housing needs and to share my Santa Barbara Real Estate Services with you and your family. Please feel free to browse my Santa Barbara Home Buying and Selling Tips at your leisure and do not hesitate to contact me, Stan Tabler at your convenience. I look forward to hearing from you soon and to assisting you with all your real estate goals, big and small.
Santa Barbara South Coast Real Estate Update
September 15, 2017
.Direct from the County Recorder’s Office, the overall number of property sales on the South Coast of Santa Barbara County was up 14% from 166 in August 2016 to 190 in August 2017, the median sales price was up 7% from $894,000 in August 2016 to $954,000 in August 2017 and the average sales price was up 17% from $1,234,202 in August 2016 to $1,450,000 in August 2017. In August 2017 there were 110 House/PUD sales with a median sales price of $1,444,000 and an average sales price of $1,890,379. In August 2017 there were 70 Condominium sales with a median sales price of $613,000 and an average sales price of $695,065.
In Carpinteria the number of sales was up 38% from 13 in August 2016 to 18 in August 2017. The median sales price was down 8% from $775,000 in August 2016 to $709,750 in August 2017 and the average sales price was up 32% from $850,038 in August 2016 to $1,119,361 in August 2017. The lowest Carpinteria sale price in August 2017 was a condominium on Hickory Street for $360,000 and the highest was an estate on Toro Canyon Road for $5,148,000.
In Summerland the number of sales was down 66% from 3 in August 2016 to 1 in August 2017. The median sales price was up 137% from $867,500 in August 2016 to $2,055,000 in August 2017 and the average sales price was up 106% from $997,500 in August 2016 to $2,055,000 in August 2017. The lowest and highest Summerland sale price in August 2017 was a house on Whitney Avenue for $2,055,000.
In Montecito the number of sales was up 86% from 14 in August 2016 to 26 in August 2017. The median sales price was up 56% from $2,167,500 in August 2016 to $3,374,500 in August 2017 and the average sales price was up 13% from $3,016,036 in August 2016 to $3,418,250 in August 2017. The lowest Montecito sale price in August 2017 was a house on Sierra Vista Road for $1,125,000 and the highest was an estate on East Valley Road for $7,175,000.
In Santa Barbara the number of sales was down 2% from 83 in August 2016 to 81 in August 2017. The median sales price was up 21% from $995,000 in August 2016 to $1,200,000 in August 2017 and the average sales price was up 13% from $1,210,187 in August 2016 to $1,373,445 in August 2017. The lowest Santa Barbara sale price in August 2017 was a condominium on Anacapa Street for $485,000 and tied for the highest were houses on El Encanto Road and W. Mountain Drive, both of which sold for $4,600,000.
In Hope Ranch the number of sales was down 50% from 2 in August 2016 to 1 in August 2017. The median sales price was up 4% from $2,017,500 in August 2016 to $2,100,000 in August 2017 and the average sales price was up 4% from $2,017,500 in August 2016 to $2,100,000 in August 2017. The lowest and highest Hope Ranch sale price in August 2017 was an estate on Via Cayente for $2,100,000.
In Goleta the number of sales was up 26% from 50 in August 2016 to 63 in August 2017. The median sales price was down 16% from $845,000 in August 2016 to $706,500 in August 2017 and the average sales price was down 6% from $866,310 in August 2016 to $810,310 in August 2017. The lowest Goleta sale price in August 2017 was a condominium on Dearborn Place for $415,000 and the highest was an estate on Glen Annie Road for $3,850,000.
Analysis
A limited supply of available properties along the South Coast of Santa Barbara County is keeping values higher than one might expect as compared to many inland areas of California and most areas of the United States. On the South Coast of Santa Barbara County as of September 13th there were only 405 active House/PUD listings and 102 Condominium listings available for purchase. Generally, there is much more inventory available in the higher price ranges than in the lower ranges as 163 of the active listings are located in Montecito and Hope Ranch. Compare these low totals to the years 2007 to 2011 when the total number of available listings ranged between 734 and 1,026. Historically the highest number of available listings along the South Coast was recorded in June of 1992 when there were 1,297 listings available for sale.
On the South Coast of Santa Barbara, in August 2017, there were no bank-owned property sales. As of September 13th there were 2 active bank-owned listings available from Carpinteria through Goleta: a house on Padaro Lane for $18,700,000 and house on Canon View Road for $995,000. As of September 13th there were 2 bank-owned listings in escrow, a house on Calle Manzanita listed at $831,000 and a house on Tajo listed at $629,900. Compare our market’s 0% in foreclosure sales as a percentage of homes sold to 17% in New Jersey and 6% nationwide. Check out Realty Trac’s list: http://www.realtytrac.com/statsandtrends/foreclosuretrends/ca . In other news, the mortgage delinquency rate (delinquent at least 30 days) dropped to a 10-year low to 4.5% in May 2017. In January 2007 the delinquency rate was 4.6% and in January 2010 it hit a high of 12%.
As of July 2017 (the latest available data from CoreLogic) the highest recorded median County sales price in California was in San Francisco County @ $1,208,500 (up 5.1% from 2016) and the lowest recorded median County sales price was in Tehama County @ $172,000 (down 3.6% from 2016). The median sales price in the County of Santa Barbara was $510,000 (up 20.9% from 2016) and the median sales price in the City of Santa Barbara was $947,000 (down 9.6% from 2016). The lowest median sales price in any California city was in Thermal in Riverside County @ $46,250 (down 23.6% from 2016) and the highest was in Atherton in San Mateo County @ $6,300,000. You could buy 136 median priced houses in Thermal, 12.3 in the County of Santa Barbara or 6.7 in the City of Santa Barbara for the same price as 1 in Atherton. If you want to know what property you can buy in Red Bluff in Tehama County for $79,000, check out http://www.homesandland.com/For-Sale/Red_Bluff,CA/1156_Pine_Street/43550325.html . Each week Trulia compiles a national sales survey to determine the median sales prices in each of the States and the District of Columbia; for the week ending August 23, 2017, the District of Columbia had the highest median sales price @ $625,000 and was ranked #50 in Trulia Popularity, West Virginia had the lowest @ $136,500 and was ranked #37 in Trulia Popularity and California was in 2nd place @ $462,000 and was ranked #1 in Trulia Popularity. To review Trulia’s maps of sales activity: http://www.trulia.com/home_prices/
Coldwell Banker’s Home Listing Report for 2016 analyzed the average listing price of more than 50,000 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom homes and then ranked 2,168 markets across the USA. California took up 15 of the top 20 most expensive cities with Santa Barbara coming in at #15 with an average price of $1,165,727. The #1 average price was $2,453,718 in Saratoga, CA and dead last at #2,168 was Detroit, MI at $64,110. To review the complete list: https://www.coldwellbanker.com/hlr/2016
Noting the very slow but steady economic growth over the past 8 years, I feel slow but steady growth is a good thing, but I am not sure the Federal Reserve knows what to think about it. Mortgage interest rates still remain very attractive, but we know they will not last forever.
Of the 190 sales in August 2017, 91 were over $1,000,000 which equates to 48% of the total sales, up from 45% in July and down from 56% in June (which was the highest percentage in recent history.) Compare our 48% to San Francisco’s 57.4% and San Jose’s 46.3%. The South Coast of Santa Barbara is not an inexpensive place to purchase real estate as compared to most areas of the United States, but again many people will pay more to live and invest here.
On August 29th, the Conference Board reported that the Consumer Confidence Index stood at 122.9, up from 120 in July. Lynn Franco, Director of Economic Indicators at the Conference Board, stated “Consumers’ more buoyant assessment of present day conditions was the primary driver of the boost in confidence.” The 151.2 Present Situation Index continues to hover near a 16-year high (high was 151.3 in July 2001).
There were 76 cash sales out of a total of 190 in August 2017, which equates to 40% of the properties being sold for cash, which is a historic record. Along the South Coast, the lowest percentage occurred in June 2013 when only 13% of the sales were cash and the former highest was in January 2016 when 36% of the sales were cash. Nationally cash sales accounted for 29% of the sales; the cities with the highest shares of cash sales are Raleigh (NC) at 57.4%, Miami at 46.2%, Detroit at 45.2%, Oklahoma City at 44.6% and Tampa at 43.2%.
The highest year-to-date median sales price recorded on the Santa Barbara South Coast was recorded in 2006 at $980,000; the year-to-date median sales price for 2017 is $975,000, so median sales price is still hovering just below that 2006 high mark and has been for many, many months now.
The local market is still slightly tipped in the Seller’s favor due to lack of available inventory although I do feel most prices have plateaued and even softened in some neighborhoods, especially in the higher valued areas. Take for example the available inventory as of September 13th in Goleta where there were only 58 active House/PUD listings and 30 pending sales, which equates to only a 1.9 month supply of properties for Buyers to choose from. Historically somewhere around a 5 to 6 month supply of available inventory would indicate a balanced market between Buyers and Sellers. Based on Santa Barbara Multiple Listing Service data and as of September 13th, Carpinteria/Summerland had a 3.5 month supply, Montecito had a 10.5 month supply, Santa Barbara had a 3.2 month supply and Hope Ranch had a 6.2 month supply. These inventory numbers indicate that Goleta, Carpinteria/Summerland and Santa Barbara markets are still tilting in the Seller’s favor while Montecito and Hope Ranch markets are tilting in the Buyer’s favor. With a total of 104 House/PUD pending sales and only 405 active listings on the South Coast of Santa Barbara County, there is only a 3.9 month supply of House/PUD listings to choose from. With a total of 45 Condominium pending sales and only 102 active listings on the South Coast of Santa Barbara County, there is a 2.3 month supply of condominium listings to choose from. Buyers can and will decide if a property is overpriced or underpriced and act on ones about which they feel confident. As the market pace has slowed a bit due to the season and inventory has risen slightly, we have seen the last of double-digit property appreciation for the time being. Along with being a great time to buy a property if you can find one that meets your needs and lock in a still great long term mortgage rate, it is also a good time to sell a property as there is still a pool of willing buyers waiting for the ‘right’ property to come onto the market at the ‘right’ price.
Feel free to contact me with any real estate related questions.
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Stan Tabler, CRS, GRI, ABR Compass California Realtor of The Year California Brokers License #: 00774377 Since 1980 805-689-2305 |
Realtor of the Year
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